Novara vs Catania: result 3-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 2, 2011 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara
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What was the result of Novara vs Catania?
Novara and Catania drew 3-3 on October 2, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 14′N. LegrottaglieCatania
- 49′Marco RigoniNovara (pen.)
- 56′F. LodiCatania
- 66′Takayuki MorimotoNovara
- 85′JedaNovara
- 90′P. GómezCatania
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Novara have 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Catania have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2011 | Atalanta(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Inter(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Cagliari(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Chievo(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2011 | Juventus(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Genoa(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Cesena(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Robur Siena(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2011 | Inter(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Novara score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; Catania score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novara | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 4/4 | 4/4 |
| Catania | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy