Match

Catania vs Potenza: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 29Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Angelo Massimino, Catania

CataniaPotenza

The Footlab AI model makes Catania the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Potenza. The most likely score is 1-1. If Catania wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Catania vs Potenza?

On Elo ratings, Catania has 1,811 points and Potenza 1,829.

52%24%24%
Catania winDrawPotenza win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Catania vs Potenza

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Catania

4-3-3
  1. 10E. Cicerelli
  2. 7G. Bruzzaniti
  3. 9M. Coda
  1. 16A. Quaini
  2. 4A. Vallocchia
  3. 18N. Cavuoti
  1. 15M. Di Gennaro
  2. 32E. Masciangelo
  3. 68M. Ierardi
  4. 5M. Perrotta
  1. 57A. Dini

Potenza

4-3-3
  1. 10G. D'Auria
  2. 30L. Petrungaro
  3. 70Gabriele Selleri
  1. 24A. Bando
  2. 8M. Castorani
  3. 77M. Ghisolfi
  1. 6G. Loiacono
  2. 26N. Kirwan
  3. 3L. Russo
  4. 47R. Bura
  1. 17T. Cucchietti

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:21 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Catania have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Potenza have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Catania
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Team Altamura(away)3-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Crotone(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Casertana(away)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Barletta(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026AZ Picerno(away)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Potenza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Foggia(away)3-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026AZ Picerno(home)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Barletta(away)4-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Cavese(home)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Bari(away)0-0Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Catania wins, 3 draws, 1 Potenza win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Catania 1-1 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Dec 14, 2025Potenza 1-1 CataniaSerie C - Girone C
May 7, 2025Catania 1-0 PotenzaSerie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2025Potenza 1-2 CataniaSerie C - Girone C
Dec 14, 2024Catania 0-2 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Mar 10, 2024Catania 0-0 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Catania vs Potenza on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Catania score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Potenza score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Catania1.51.638/1511/15
Potenza2.11.2410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Catania sit 4th in Serie C - Girone C (16 points from 9 matches) and Potenza sit 1st (22 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Potenza9711241222
4Catania9513171016

A question about Catania vs Potenza?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Catania vs Potenza?
The Footlab AI model makes Catania the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Potenza.
Where and when is Catania vs Potenza played?
Catania vs Potenza is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Angelo Massimino, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Catania and Potenza

Ready to know everything about football?