Match

Crotone vs Bari: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 29Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone

CrotoneBari

The Footlab AI model makes Bari the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Crotone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bari wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Crotone vs Bari?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Crotone (1,741) and Bari (1,783).

31%28%41%
Crotone winDrawBari win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Crotone vs Bari

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Crotone

4-2-3-1
  1. 96M. Zunno
  1. 99F. Crapisto
  2. 80Filippo Grosso
  3. 31P. Rodriguez
  4. 5L. Russo
  5. 8I. Torres
  1. 13N. Armini
  2. 26G. Tanco
  3. 63A. Veltri
  4. 23F. Groppelli
  1. 1D. Merelli

Bari

4-3-1-2
  1. 7K. Butić
  2. 24F. Bianchi
  1. 25G. Maggiore
  2. 5E. Darboe
  3. 21M. Della Morte
  4. 11A. Tribuzzi
  1. 79M. Elia
  2. 6V. Mogoș
  3. 72N. Cocetta
  4. 14M. Anzolin
  1. 31M. Cerofolini

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:23 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crotone have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Bari have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Crotone
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Audace Cerignola(home)2-3Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Catania(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Salernitana(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026SS Monopoli(away)2-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Inter U23(home)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Bari
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Giugliano(home)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Salernitana(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Cosenza(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Sorrento(away)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Potenza(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C

How many goals should we expect?

Crotone score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bari score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Crotone1.21.7110/157/15
Bari1.30.6104/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Crotone sit 20th in Serie C - Girone C (0 points from 9 matches) and Bari sit 2nd (19 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Bari961213619
20Crotone913510150

A question about Crotone vs Bari?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Crotone vs Bari?
The Footlab AI model makes Bari the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Crotone.
Where and when is Crotone vs Bari played?
Crotone vs Bari is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ezio Scida, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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