Match

Potenza vs Catania: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza

PotenzaCatania

The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Catania. The most likely score is 1-1. If Potenza wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Potenza vs Catania?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Potenza (1,829) and Catania (1,811).

40%24%36%
Potenza winDrawCatania win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Potenza vs Catania

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Potenza

4-3-3
  1. 10G. D'Auria
  2. 30L. Petrungaro
  3. 70Gabriele Selleri
  1. 24A. Bando
  2. 8M. Castorani
  3. 77M. Ghisolfi
  1. 6G. Loiacono
  2. 26N. Kirwan
  3. 3L. Russo
  4. 47R. Bura
  1. 17T. Cucchietti

Catania

4-3-3
  1. 10E. Cicerelli
  2. 7G. Bruzzaniti
  3. 9M. Coda
  1. 16A. Quaini
  2. 4A. Vallocchia
  3. 18N. Cavuoti
  1. 15M. Di Gennaro
  2. 32E. Masciangelo
  3. 68M. Ierardi
  4. 5M. Perrotta
  1. 57A. Dini

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Potenza have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Catania have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Potenza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Foggia(away)3-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026AZ Picerno(home)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Barletta(away)4-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Cavese(home)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Bari(away)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Catania
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Team Altamura(away)3-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Crotone(home)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Casertana(away)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Barletta(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026AZ Picerno(away)4-2Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Potenza win, 3 draws, 2 Catania wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Catania 1-1 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Dec 14, 2025Potenza 1-1 CataniaSerie C - Girone C
May 7, 2025Catania 1-0 PotenzaSerie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2025Potenza 1-2 CataniaSerie C - Girone C
Dec 14, 2024Catania 0-2 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Mar 10, 2024Catania 0-0 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Catania vs Potenza on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Potenza score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Catania score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Potenza2.11.2410/1510/15
Catania1.51.638/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Potenza sit 1st in Serie C - Girone C (22 points from 9 matches) and Catania sit 4th (16 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Potenza9711241222
4Catania9513171016

A question about Potenza vs Catania?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Potenza vs Catania?
The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Catania.
Where and when is Potenza vs Catania played?
Potenza vs Catania is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Potenza and Catania

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