Caudal vs Condal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña, Mieres del Camino
The Footlab model makes Caudal the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Condal. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caudal vs Condal?
Caudal is a heavy favourite: 1,904 Elo points against 1,575 — a 329-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caudal have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Condal have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Atlético Central(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 31, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 24, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 4, 2025 | Ceares(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Colunga(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Covadonga(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | L'Entregu(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Caudal win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Condal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Caudal 4-0 Condal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Condal 1-1 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Condal 2-0 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Caudal 0-0 Condal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Condal 1-5 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Caudal 1-1 Condal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caudal score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Condal score 0.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caudal | 1.7 | 0.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Condal | 0.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caudal | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 59 | 39 | 66 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caudal vs Condal?
- The Footlab model makes Caudal the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Condal.
- Where and when is Caudal vs Condal played?
- Caudal vs Condal is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.