San Martín vs Llanes: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Florán, San Martín del Rey Aurelio
The Footlab AI model makes San Martín the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Llanes. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Martín wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Martín vs Llanes?
On Elo ratings, San Martín has 1,732 points and Llanes 1,644.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Martín vs Llanes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Martín
Not enough data to predict the San Martín lineup.
Llanes
4-3-3- PPablo Prieto
- SSergio Ríos
- AA. Al Moukhtar
- LLuis Piedralba
- MMíchel Secades
- PPablo Maya
- RRafael Felgueroso
- PPelayo Pedrayes
- PPablo Álvarez
- PPacoli
- MM. Kania
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Martín have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Llanes have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Andes(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Condal(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Condal(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lealtad(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 San Martín wins, 3 draws, 1 Llanes win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | San Martín 1-0 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Llanes 2-2 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 20, 2022 | San Martín 1-0 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Llanes 1-0 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 28, 2021 | San Martín 2-2 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 8, 2020 | Llanes 2-2 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
San Martín score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Llanes score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martín | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Llanes | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Martín sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (8 points from 6 matches) and Llanes sit 16th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | San Martín | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 16 | Llanes | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
A question about San Martín vs Llanes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Martín vs Llanes?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Martín the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Llanes.
- Where and when is San Martín vs Llanes played?
- San Martín vs Llanes is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Florán, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.