Caudal vs Llanes: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña, Mieres del Camino
The Footlab AI model makes Caudal the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Llanes. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caudal vs Llanes?
Caudal starts as the favourite with a 270-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,609).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caudal vs Llanes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caudal
Not enough data to predict the Caudal lineup.
Llanes
4-3-3- PPablo Prieto
- SSergio Ríos
- AA. Al Moukhtar
- LLuis Piedralba
- MMíchel Secades
- PPablo Maya
- RRafael Felgueroso
- PPelayo Pedrayes
- PPablo Álvarez
- PPacoli
- MM. Kania
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caudal have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Llanes have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | L'Entregu(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Condal(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lealtad(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Caudal wins, 2 draws, 2 Llanes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Caudal 3-1 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Llanes 1-2 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Caudal 1-1 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Llanes 1-0 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Caudal 2-2 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Llanes 2-0 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caudal score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Llanes score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caudal | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Llanes | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caudal sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Llanes sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Caudal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 15 | Llanes | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
A question about Caudal vs Llanes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caudal vs Llanes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caudal the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Llanes.
- Where and when is Caudal vs Llanes played?
- Caudal vs Llanes is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Hermanos Antuña, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.