Mosconia vs Sporting Gijón II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo, Grado, Asturias
The Footlab model makes Sporting Gijón II the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Mosconia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mosconia vs Sporting Gijón II?
Sporting Gijón II starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mosconia have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sporting Gijón II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 17, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Navarro(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mosconia win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Sporting Gijón II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II 2-1 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Mosconia 1-1 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Sporting Gijón II 0-0 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Mosconia 1-1 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 13, 2022 | Sporting Gijón II 5-1 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Mosconia 0-1 Sporting Gijón II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Gijón II vs Mosconia on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mosconia score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Gijón II score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosconia | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Sporting Gijón II | 1.9 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mosconia sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (56 points from 34 matches) and Sporting Gijón II sit 3rd (67 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting Gijón II | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 79 | 29 | 67 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 27 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mosconia vs Sporting Gijón II?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting Gijón II the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Mosconia.
- Where and when is Mosconia vs Sporting Gijón II played?
- Mosconia vs Sporting Gijón II is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.