Where and when is Cavalry FC vs Forge played?

Cavalry FC vs Forge is played on September 19, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at ATCO Field, in the Canadian Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cavalry FC vs Forge: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on September 19, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)ATCO Field, Calgary, Alberta

Cavalry FC

Forge

The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Forge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cavalry FC vs Forge?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Cavalry FC (1,882) and Forge (1,849).

Cavalry FC win50 %

Draw27 %

Forge win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cavalry FC have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Forge have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cavalry FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(home)	3-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026	Forge(home)	2-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 9, 2026	Supra du Quebec(away)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026	York United(home)	5-0	Canadian Premier League
Jul 29, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	2-1	Canadian Premier League

Forge
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pacific FC(home)	2-0	Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	3-2	Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026	Cavalry FC(away)	1-2	Canadian Premier League
Aug 7, 2026	Vancouver FC(home)	0-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026	HFX Wanderers FC(away)	0-0	Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cavalry FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Forge win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Cavalry FC 2-1 Forge	Canadian Premier League
May 31, 2026	Forge 1-0 Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League
Apr 18, 2026	Forge 0-0 Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League
Nov 2, 2025	Forge 0-1 Cavalry FC	Canadian Premier League
Oct 11, 2025	Cavalry FC 1-1 Forge	Canadian Premier League
Aug 30, 2025	Cavalry FC 4-1 Forge	Canadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: Cavalry FC vs Forge on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cavalry FC score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Forge score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cavalry FC	2.3	0.7	5	8/15	8/15
Forge	1.7	0.9	5	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cavalry FC sit 2nd in Canadian Premier League (40 points from 18 matches) and Forge sit 1st (41 points from 18 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Forge	18	13	2	3	29	13	41
2	Cavalry FC	18	12	4	2	36	11	40

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cavalry FC vs Forge?: The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Forge.
Where and when is Cavalry FC vs Forge played?: Cavalry FC vs Forge is played on September 19, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at ATCO Field, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.