Cayón vs Atlético Mineros: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Astobiza, Sarón, Santa María de Cayón
The Footlab AI model makes Cayón the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Atlético Mineros. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,771 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cayón vs Atlético Mineros?
Cayón starts as the favourite with a 210-point Elo edge (1,861 vs 1,651).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cayón vs Atlético Mineros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cayón
Not enough data to predict the Cayón lineup.
Atlético Mineros
4-3-3- DDiego Villar
- FFernando Abascal Aller
- SSergio Tresgallo Gallo
- JJosé Saras
- AAarón Villanueva Revuelta
- JJosemi Barragán
- 19Diego Guemes
- AAntonio Fuentevilla Barriuso
- DDavid Ruiz
- ÃÃngel Cobo
- JJavier Villegas
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 09:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cayón have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Atlético Mineros have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Laredo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bezana(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torina(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Velarde(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sámano(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Velarde(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sámano(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castro(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Cayón wins, 1 draw, 0 Atlético Mineros wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlético Mineros 0-2 Cayón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 4, 2025 | Atlético Mineros 2-2 Cayón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Cayón 4-0 Atlético Mineros | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Mineros vs Cayón on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cayón score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Mineros score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cayón | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Atlético Mineros | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cayón sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (17 points from 8 matches) and Atlético Mineros sit 9th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cayón | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Atlético Mineros | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
A question about Cayón vs Atlético Mineros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cayón vs Atlético Mineros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cayón the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Atlético Mineros.
- Where and when is Cayón vs Atlético Mineros played?
- Cayón vs Atlético Mineros is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Astobiza, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.