CD Motagua vs CD Marathon: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga NacionalApertura - Semi-finalsKick-off on December 7, 2023 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés, Tegucigalpa
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What was the result of CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
CD Motagua won 2-1 on December 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 18′A. AuzmendiCD Motagua (pen.)
- 49′I. CastilloCD Marathon
- 56′A. AuzmendiCD Motagua
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Motagua have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; CD Marathon have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | Olancho(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Olancho(away) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Victoria(home) | 1-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 12, 2023 | CD Real Sociedad(away) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 9, 2023 | Lobos Upnfm(away) | 4-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2023 | Lobos Upnfm(home) | 3-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 12, 2023 | CD Olimpia(away) | 1-5 | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Génesis(away) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 29, 2023 | CD Real Sociedad(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Victoria(away) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CD Motagua win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 CD Marathon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2023 | CD Marathon 2-1 CD Motagua | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 13, 2023 | CD Motagua 3-0 CD Marathon | Liga Nacional |
| May 7, 2023 | CD Marathon 0-0 CD Motagua | Liga Nacional |
| May 4, 2023 | CD Motagua 1-2 CD Marathon | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 23, 2023 | CD Motagua 2-2 CD Marathon | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 19, 2023 | CD Marathon 1-1 CD Motagua | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: CD Marathon vs CD Motagua on Oct 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
CD Motagua score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; CD Marathon score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Motagua | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| CD Marathon | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CD Motagua sit 7th in Liga Nacional (6 points from 4 matches) and CD Marathon sit 3rd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CD Marathon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Motagua | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy