Match

CD Zafra vs Castuera: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

CD ZafraCastuera

The Footlab model makes CD Zafra the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Castuera. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CD Zafra vs Castuera?

CD Zafra win50 %
Draw26 %
Castuera win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, CD Zafra have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Castuera have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Castuera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Badajoz(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 4, 2025Trujillo(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 27, 2025Atlético Pueblonuevo(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 17, 2025Puebla Calzada(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 11, 2025Extremadura 1924(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CD Zafra vs Castuera?
The Footlab model makes CD Zafra the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Castuera.
Where and when is CD Zafra vs Castuera played?
CD Zafra vs Castuera is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: CD Zafra and Castuera

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