Ceara B vs Vila Real: prediction and stats
Copa Fares LopesGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ceara B the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Vila Real. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ceara B wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceara B vs Vila Real?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Ceara B (1,485) and Vila Real (1,513).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceara B vs Vila Real
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceara B
Not enough data to predict the Ceara B lineup.
Vila Real
Not enough data to predict the Vila Real lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Ceara B have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Vila Real have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Maracanã(home) | 1-2 | Copa Fares Lopes |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Caucaia(home) | 2-1 | Copa Fares Lopes |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Maracanã(away) | 0-2 | Copa Fares Lopes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Tirol/CEFAT(away) | 1-0 | Copa Fares Lopes |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Vila Real(home) | 4-0 | Copa Fares Lopes |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Acopiara(away) | 1-1 | Cearense - 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pacatuba(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pacatuba(away) | 1-1 | Cearense - 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tianguá(away) | 1-0 | Cearense - 3 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Acopiara(home) | 3-2 | Cearense - 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Ceara B win, 0 draws, 0 Vila Real wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Ceara B 4-0 Vila Real | Copa Fares Lopes |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara B score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 9; Vila Real score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara B | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/9 | 5/9 |
| Vila Real | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ceara B vs Vila Real?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceara B vs Vila Real?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceara B the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Vila Real.
- Where and when is Ceara B vs Vila Real played?
- Ceara B vs Vila Real is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Copa Fares Lopes.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.