Icasa vs Quixada: prediction and stats
Copa Fares LopesGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mauro Sampaio, Juazeiro do Norte, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Icasa the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Quixada. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Icasa vs Quixada?
On Elo ratings, Icasa has 1,554 points and Quixada 1,517.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Icasa vs Quixada
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Icasa
4-3-3- DDenis Ribeiro
- JJairinho
- LLeandro Cearense
- CCésar Sampaio
- MMarcos Vinícius
- GGuidio
- LLéo Alves
- BBull
- RRoni
- MMarcos Vinicius
- FFlaysmar
Quixada
4-3-3- 18Lucas Santos
- 21Juninho Quixadá
- 20Lucas
- 22Caninde
- 7Gustavo Queiroz
- 16Dim
- 4S. Santos
- 11Erikin
- 17Conrado
- 13Rafael
- 12Kerven
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Icasa have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Quixada have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Itapipoca(home) | 1-1 | Cearense - 2 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Itapipoca(away) | 0-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 30, 2026 | Crateús(home) | 3-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 24, 2026 | Crateús(away) | 0-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 13, 2026 | Guarani De Juazeiro(home) | 2-1 | Cearense - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Maranguape(home) | 1-3 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Maracanã(away) | 3-2 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Tirol/CEFAT(home) | 0-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Ferroviario(home) | 1-2 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-4 | Cearense - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Icasa win, 1 draw, 0 Quixada wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | Icasa 1-1 Quixada | Cearense - 2 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Quixada 1-4 Icasa | Cearense - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Icasa score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Quixada score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icasa | 1.7 | 0.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Quixada | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Icasa vs Quixada?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Icasa vs Quixada?
- The Footlab AI model makes Icasa the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Quixada.
- Where and when is Icasa vs Quixada played?
- Icasa vs Quixada is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Mauro Sampaio, in the Copa Fares Lopes.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.