Ceara vs AO Itabaiana: result 2-1 and analysis
Copa do NordesteGroup Stage - 8Kick-off on March 28, 2024 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Ceara vs AO Itabaiana?
Ceara won 2-1 on March 28, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 18′NenémAO Itabaiana
- 43′F. CastroCeara
- 84′Erick PulgaCeara
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; AO Itabaiana have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | Treze(away) | 1-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 1-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Ferroviario(home) | 1-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Ferroviario(away) | 3-2 | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Bahia(home) | 1-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | Botafogo PB(home) | 0-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Maranhão(home) | 3-4 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Dorense(away) | 1-1 | Sergipano |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Dorense(away) | 0-0 | Sergipano |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Lagarto(home) | 2-2 | Sergipano |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; AO Itabaiana score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| AO Itabaiana | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceara sit 2nd in Copa do Nordeste (10 points from 5 matches) and AO Itabaiana sit 5th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ceara | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | AO Itabaiana | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy