Ceara vs Goias: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Goias. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ceara wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceara vs Goias?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Ceara (1,758) and Goias (1,744).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceara vs Goias
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceara
4-2-3-1- 94R. López
- 81Joao Gabriel
- 60Enzo
- 8Matheus Araújo
- 25Vinicius Zanocelo
- 29Vina
- 4Luiz Otávio
- 13Luiz Otávio
- 18Júlio
- 12Sanchez
- 1Richard
Goias
4-2-3-1- 40Kadu
- 5Filipe Machado
- 97Lourenço
- 10Lucas Lima
- 17Pedro Junqueira
- 35Luquinhas
- 54Djalma Silva
- 14Lucas Ribeiro
- 2Rodrigo Soares
- 3Luiz Felipe
- 23Tadeu
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Goias have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Operario-PR(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Novorizontino(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Avai(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ceara win, 3 draws, 2 Goias wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Goias 2-0 Ceara | Serie B |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Goias 2-1 Ceara | Serie B |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Ceara 1-1 Goias | Serie B |
| Oct 5, 2022 | Ceara 1-1 Goias | Serie A |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Goias 1-1 Ceara | Serie A |
| Jan 21, 2021 | Goias 0-4 Ceara | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Goias score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Goias | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceara sit 15th in Serie B (39 points from 31 matches) and Goias sit 11th (45 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 45 |
| 15 | Ceara | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 39 | 39 |
A question about Ceara vs Goias?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceara vs Goias?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Goias.
- Where and when is Ceara vs Goias played?
- Ceara vs Goias is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.