Ceara vs Icasa: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Icasa. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceara vs Icasa?
Ceara starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,726 vs 1,541).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceara vs Icasa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceara
4-2-3-1- 73Saulo Mineiro
- 81Joao Gabriel
- 25Vinicius Zanocelo
- 8Matheus Araújo
- 60Enzo
- 29Vina
- 18Júlio
- 12Sanchez
- 4Luiz Otávio
- 13Luiz Otávio
- 1Richard
Icasa
4-3-3- DDenis Ribeiro
- JJairinho
- LLeandro Cearense
- CCésar Sampaio
- MMarcos Vinícius
- GGuidio
- LLéo Alves
- BBull
- RRoni
- MMarcos Vinicius
- FFlaysmar
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceara have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Icasa have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Operario-PR(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Itapipoca(home) | 1-1 | Cearense - 2 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Itapipoca(away) | 0-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 30, 2026 | Crateús(home) | 3-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 24, 2026 | Crateús(away) | 0-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 13, 2026 | Guarani De Juazeiro(home) | 2-1 | Cearense - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Ceara wins, 0 draws, 2 Icasa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | Icasa 0-1 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Oct 21, 2014 | Icasa 2-1 Ceara | Serie B |
| Jul 19, 2014 | Ceara 2-1 Icasa | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Ceara 1-0 Icasa | Serie B |
| Jul 7, 2013 | Icasa 1-0 Ceara | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ceara score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Icasa score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Icasa | 1.7 | 0.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
A question about Ceara vs Icasa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceara vs Icasa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceara the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Icasa.
- Where and when is Ceara vs Icasa played?
- Ceara vs Icasa is played on January 23, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.