Ferroviario vs Fortaleza EC: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Ferroviario. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fortaleza EC wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferroviario vs Fortaleza EC?
Fortaleza EC starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,582).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ferroviario vs Fortaleza EC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ferroviario
Not enough data to predict the Ferroviario lineup.
Fortaleza EC
3-4-3- 16Pedro Henrique
- 91Francisco da Costa
- 32Luiz Fernando
- 22Maílton
- 5Pierre
- 75Rodriguinho
- 11Vitinho
- 15Bartolomeu Jacinto Quissanga
- 23Neris
- 20Jaílson
- 1João Ricardo
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviario have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 6, 9 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Central SC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Central SC(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Fluminense PI(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | CRB(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ferroviario wins, 1 draw, 5 Fortaleza EC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Ferroviario 0-1 Fortaleza EC | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Fortaleza EC 2-0 Ferroviario | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Ferroviario 0-2 Fortaleza EC | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Ferroviario 0-0 Fortaleza EC | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Fortaleza EC 1-0 Ferroviario | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Fortaleza EC 4-0 Ferroviario | Copa do Nordeste |
Last archived meeting: Ferroviario vs Fortaleza EC on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviario score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviario | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferroviario sit 2nd in Cearense - 1 (8 points from 4 matches) and Fortaleza EC sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortaleza EC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | Ferroviario | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
A question about Ferroviario vs Fortaleza EC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferroviario vs Fortaleza EC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Ferroviario.
- Where and when is Ferroviario vs Fortaleza EC played?
- Ferroviario vs Fortaleza EC is played on January 24, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.