Maranguape vs Floresta: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Francisco Cardoso de Morais, Maranguape, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Floresta the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Maranguape. The most likely score is 1-1. If Floresta wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maranguape vs Floresta?
Floresta starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,623 vs 1,509).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maranguape vs Floresta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maranguape
4-3-3- 9Hulk Felipe
- 19Breno Araujo
- 11Pedrinho
- 7Clodo
- 8Lessinho
- 10Luis Guilherme
- 3Mael
- 2Rian Kelvi
- 16Nailton
- 23Germano
- 12Otavio de Oliveira Duarte
Floresta
4-3-3- 11Rafinha
- 7Baianinho
- 19Matheus Lima
- 17Nonato
- 21Rafa Marcos
- 13Garraty
- 4Joao Victor
- 23Islan
- 16Zulu
- 29Caique
- 12Dheimison
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maranguape have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Floresta have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Quixada(away) | 3-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Tirol/CEFAT(home) | 3-2 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Maracanã(home) | 1-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Floresta(home) | 0-3 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 0-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Maringá(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botafogo PB(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Botafogo PB(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Maranguape win, 0 draws, 2 Floresta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Maranguape 0-3 Floresta | Cearense - 1 |
| May 11, 2022 | Floresta 2-0 Maranguape | Cearense - 2 |
| Jul 14, 2021 | Floresta 1-2 Maranguape | Cearense - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Maranguape vs Floresta on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maranguape score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Floresta score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maranguape | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Floresta | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maranguape sit 1st in Cearense - 1 (7 points from 3 matches) and Floresta sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MaranguapeCearense: Relegation Group | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | FlorestaCearense: Regular season | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
A question about Maranguape vs Floresta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maranguape vs Floresta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Floresta the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Maranguape.
- Where and when is Maranguape vs Floresta played?
- Maranguape vs Floresta is played on January 23, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Francisco Cardoso de Morais, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.