Match

Fortaleza EC vs Ceara: prediction and stats

Cearense - 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará

Fortaleza ECCeara

The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Ceara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fortaleza EC wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?

On Elo ratings, Fortaleza EC has 1,822 points and Ceara 1,726.

53%26%21%
Fortaleza EC winDrawCeara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Fortaleza EC vs Ceara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Fortaleza EC

4-3-3
  1. 32Luiz Fernando
  2. 21J. Cantillo
  3. 16Pedro Henrique
  1. 5Pierre
  2. 75Rodriguinho
  3. 88Lucas Sasha
  1. 6T. Cardona
  2. 22Maílton
  3. 3Lucas Gazal
  4. 23Neris
  1. 1João Ricardo

Ceara

4-2-3-1
  1. 73Saulo Mineiro
  1. 81Joao Gabriel
  2. 25Vinicius Zanocelo
  3. 8Matheus Araújo
  4. 60Enzo
  5. 29Vina
  1. 18Júlio
  2. 12Sanchez
  3. 4Luiz Otávio
  4. 13Luiz Otávio
  1. 1Richard

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:52 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza EC have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Ceara have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Sport Recife(away)2-0Serie B
Oct 12, 2026CRB(home)2-2Serie B
Oct 7, 2026America Mineiro(away)1-0Serie B
Oct 3, 2026Nautico Recife(home)1-1Serie B
Sep 27, 2026Athletic Club(home)2-2Serie B
Ceara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Juventude(home)2-2Serie B
Oct 13, 2026Botafogo SP(away)0-1Serie B
Oct 8, 2026Criciuma(home)1-0Serie B
Oct 3, 2026Avai(away)1-0Serie B
Sep 26, 2026Operario-PR(away)2-2Serie B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fortaleza EC wins, 4 draws, 2 Ceara wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 13, 2026Fortaleza EC 1-1 CearaSerie B
May 17, 2026Ceara 2-1 Fortaleza ECSerie B
Apr 9, 2026Ceara 2-0 Fortaleza ECCopa do Nordeste
Mar 8, 2026Ceara 1-1 Fortaleza ECCearense - 1
Mar 1, 2026Fortaleza EC 1-1 CearaCearense - 1
Feb 8, 2026Ceara 0-0 Fortaleza ECCearense - 1

Last archived meeting: Fortaleza EC vs Ceara on Sep 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fortaleza EC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ceara score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fortaleza EC1.40.869/154/15
Ceara1.41.339/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortaleza EC sit 1st in Cearense - 1 (10 points from 4 matches) and Ceara sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.

Final 2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Fortaleza EC43106010
1Ceara43107210

A question about Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortaleza EC vs Ceara?
The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Ceara.
Where and when is Fortaleza EC vs Ceara played?
Fortaleza EC vs Ceara is played on January 31, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Cearense - 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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