Floresta vs Fortaleza EC: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Olímpico Horácio Domingos de Sousa, Horizonte, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Floresta. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Floresta vs Fortaleza EC?
Fortaleza EC starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,851 vs 1,652).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Floresta vs Fortaleza EC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Floresta
4-3-3- 11Rafinha
- 7Baianinho
- 19Matheus Lima
- 17Nonato
- 21Rafa Marcos
- 13Garraty
- 4Joao Victor
- 23Islan
- 16Zulu
- 29Caique
- 12Dheimison
Fortaleza EC
4-3-3- 32Luiz Fernando
- 21J. Cantillo
- 16Pedro Henrique
- 5Pierre
- 75Rodriguinho
- 88Lucas Sasha
- 6T. Cardona
- 22Maílton
- 3Lucas Gazal
- 23Neris
- 1João Ricardo
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Floresta have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Maringá(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botafogo PB(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Botafogo PB(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | CRB(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nautico Recife(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Floresta wins, 0 draws, 3 Fortaleza EC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | Fortaleza EC 1-0 Floresta | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Floresta 0-1 Fortaleza EC | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 3, 2022 | Floresta 0-2 Fortaleza EC | Copa do Nordeste |
Last archived meeting: Fortaleza EC vs Floresta on Jan 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Floresta score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floresta | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Floresta sit 2nd in Cearense - 1 (7 points from 4 matches) and Fortaleza EC sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortaleza EC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | Floresta | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
A question about Floresta vs Fortaleza EC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Floresta vs Fortaleza EC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Floresta.
- Where and when is Floresta vs Fortaleza EC played?
- Floresta vs Fortaleza EC is played on January 9, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Olímpico Horácio Domingos de Sousa, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.