Iguatu vs Ceara: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on January 13, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal João Elmo Moreno Cavalcante, Iguatu, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Iguatu the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Ceara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Iguatu wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iguatu vs Ceara?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Iguatu (1,639) and Ceara (1,726).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Iguatu vs Ceara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Iguatu
Not enough data to predict the Iguatu lineup.
Ceara
4-2-3-1- 73Saulo Mineiro
- 81Joao Gabriel
- 25Vinicius Zanocelo
- 8Matheus Araújo
- 60Enzo
- 29Vina
- 18Júlio
- 12Sanchez
- 4Luiz Otávio
- 13Luiz Otávio
- 1Richard
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iguatu have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Ceara have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nacional AM(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nacional AM(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tuna Luso(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Tuna Luso(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Criciuma(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Operario-PR(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Iguatu win, 2 draws, 3 Ceara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Ceara 1-1 Iguatu | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Ceara 1-0 Iguatu | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Ceara 2-0 Iguatu | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Iguatu 1-1 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Iguatu 1-0 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 22, 2022 | Ceara 2-1 Iguatu | Cearense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Iguatu score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ceara score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iguatu | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Ceara | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iguatu sit 3rd in Cearense - 1 (6 points from 4 matches) and Ceara sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Iguatu | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
A question about Iguatu vs Ceara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iguatu vs Ceara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Iguatu the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Ceara.
- Where and when is Iguatu vs Ceara played?
- Iguatu vs Ceara is played on January 13, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal João Elmo Moreno Cavalcante, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.