Itapipoca vs Ferroviario: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Perilo Teixeira, Itapipoca, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Itapipoca the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Ferroviario. The most likely score is 1-1. If Itapipoca wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Itapipoca vs Ferroviario?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Itapipoca (1,569) and Ferroviario (1,632).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Itapipoca vs Ferroviario
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Itapipoca
Not enough data to predict the Itapipoca lineup.
Ferroviario
Not enough data to predict the Ferroviario lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Itapipoca have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Ferroviario have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Icasa(away) | 1-1 | Cearense - 2 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Icasa(home) | 0-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 31, 2026 | Crato(home) | 2-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 23, 2026 | Crato(away) | 2-2 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 13, 2026 | Guarany de Sobral(away) | 0-2 | Cearense - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Central SC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Central SC(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Fluminense PI(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Itapipoca wins, 1 draw, 0 Ferroviario wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | Ferroviario 1-1 Itapipoca | Copa Fares Lopes |
Last archived meeting: Ferroviario vs Itapipoca on Nov 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Itapipoca score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ferroviario score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Itapipoca | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ferroviario | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ferroviario | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
A question about Itapipoca vs Ferroviario?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Itapipoca vs Ferroviario?
- The Footlab AI model makes Itapipoca the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Ferroviario.
- Where and when is Itapipoca vs Ferroviario played?
- Itapipoca vs Ferroviario is played on January 10, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Perilo Teixeira, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.