Celaya vs Zacatepec 1948: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Zacatepec 1948. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celaya wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celaya vs Zacatepec 1948?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Celaya (1,963) and Zacatepec 1948 (1,911).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celaya vs Zacatepec 1948
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celaya
Not enough data to predict the Celaya lineup.
Zacatepec 1948
4-3-3- 27G. Ramírez
- 18E. Pérez
- 26E. Trejo
- 5A. Cirigliano
- 11J. Cardozo
- 31L. Olascoaga
- 3L. Trejo
- 30J. Akrong
- 2R. Cuba
- 25D. Martínez
- 13A. Duarte
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celaya have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Zacatepec 1948 have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Racing de Veracruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chapulineros(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(home) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cordobés(away) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Celaya win, 1 draw, 4 Zacatepec 1948 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2020 | Zacatepec 1948 3-1 Celaya | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 2, 2019 | Celaya 0-1 Zacatepec 1948 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 9, 2019 | Zacatepec 1948 1-0 Celaya | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Celaya 1-1 Zacatepec 1948 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Celaya 0-1 Zacatepec 1948 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Zacatepec 1948 0-1 Celaya | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Zacatepec 1948 vs Celaya on Feb 2, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Celaya score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zacatepec 1948 score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celaya | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Zacatepec 1948 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celaya sit 5th in Primera Premier (13 points from 7 matches) and Zacatepec 1948 sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celaya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | Zacatepec 1948 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
A question about Celaya vs Zacatepec 1948?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celaya vs Zacatepec 1948?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celaya the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Zacatepec 1948.
- Where and when is Celaya vs Zacatepec 1948 played?
- Celaya vs Zacatepec 1948 is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026ChapulinerosvsH2O Purepechas
- Nov 21, 2026TapachulavsIrapuato
- Nov 22, 2026Jaguares de ChiapasvsLos Cabos United
- Nov 22, 2026Inter Playa del CarmenvsCordobés
- Nov 22, 2026Racing de VeracruzvsTritons Vallarta
- Nov 22, 2026Pioneros de CancúnvsLobos ULMX
- Nov 23, 2026MontañesesvsTigres de Alica
- Nov 24, 2026Deportiva VenadosvsReboceros La Piedad