Chapulineros vs H2O Purepechas: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Chapulineros the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for H2O Purepechas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chapulineros wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chapulineros vs H2O Purepechas?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Chapulineros (1,783) and H2O Purepechas (1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chapulineros vs H2O Purepechas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chapulineros
Not enough data to predict the Chapulineros lineup.
H2O Purepechas
Not enough data to predict the H2O Purepechas lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chapulineros have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; H2O Purepechas have 1, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Montañeses(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tapachula(away) | 3-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(home) | 1-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Celaya(home) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Los Cabos United(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(away) | 0-3 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
Chapulineros score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; H2O Purepechas score 0.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapulineros | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| H2O Purepechas | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chapulineros sit 11th in Primera Premier (8 points from 7 matches) and H2O Purepechas sit 14th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chapulineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
| 14 | H2O Purepechas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
A question about Chapulineros vs H2O Purepechas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chapulineros vs H2O Purepechas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chapulineros the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for H2O Purepechas.
- Where and when is Chapulineros vs H2O Purepechas played?
- Chapulineros vs H2O Purepechas is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026TapachulavsIrapuato
- Nov 22, 2026Jaguares de ChiapasvsLos Cabos United
- Nov 22, 2026Inter Playa del CarmenvsCordobés
- Nov 22, 2026CelayavsZacatepec 1948
- Nov 22, 2026Racing de VeracruzvsTritons Vallarta
- Nov 22, 2026Pioneros de CancúnvsLobos ULMX
- Nov 23, 2026MontañesesvsTigres de Alica
- Nov 24, 2026Deportiva VenadosvsReboceros La Piedad