Match

Tapachula vs Irapuato: prediction and stats

Primera PremierRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula, Tapachula

TapachulaIrapuato

The Footlab AI model makes Irapuato the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Tapachula. The most likely score is 1-1. If Irapuato wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tapachula vs Irapuato?

Irapuato starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,983 vs 1,840).

30%27%43%
Tapachula winDrawIrapuato win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Tapachula vs Irapuato

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Tapachula

Not enough data to predict the Tapachula lineup.

Irapuato

4-3-3
  1. 28J. Gamboa
  2. 8C. Cruz
  3. 36J. Salazar
  1. 10J. Rangel
  2. 34J. Ruiz
  3. 6E. del Angel
  1. 16R. Sandoval
  2. 27G. Martínez
  3. 3V. Alvarado
  4. 32R. Castellanos
  1. 35A. Cabañas

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:53 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tapachula have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Irapuato have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tapachula
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Montañeses(away)1-2Primera Premier
Oct 3, 2026Chapulineros(home)2-3Primera Premier
Sep 19, 2026Pioneros de Cancún(away)1-5Primera Premier
Sep 12, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(home)2-0Primera Premier
Sep 6, 2026Celaya(away)0-2Primera Premier
Irapuato
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Tritons Vallarta(home)1-0Primera Premier
Sep 27, 2026Lobos ULMX(home)3-0Primera Premier
Sep 22, 2026Reboceros La Piedad(away)3-2Primera Premier
Sep 13, 2026Tigres de Alica(home)2-1Primera Premier
Sep 5, 2026Cordobés(away)3-0Primera Premier

How many goals should we expect?

Tapachula score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Irapuato score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tapachula1.61.629/1510/15
Irapuato1.91.449/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tapachula sit 17th in Primera Premier (3 points from 6 matches) and Irapuato sit 1st (18 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Irapuato660014418
17Tapachula61056163

A question about Tapachula vs Irapuato?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tapachula vs Irapuato?
The Footlab AI model makes Irapuato the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Tapachula.
Where and when is Tapachula vs Irapuato played?
Tapachula vs Irapuato is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula, in the Primera Premier.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Tapachula and Irapuato

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