Céleste vs Étoile du Congo: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte, Kinshasa
The Footlab AI model makes Céleste the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Étoile du Congo. The most likely score is 0-0. If Céleste wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,688 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Céleste vs Étoile du Congo?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Céleste (1,577) and Étoile du Congo (1,581).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Céleste vs Étoile du Congo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Céleste
Not enough data to predict the Céleste lineup.
Étoile du Congo
4-3-3- 11Judea Mouandzibi
- 8Gautrand Charden Meil Ngouonimba
- 9Ferdinand Rochel Kivouri
- 21Sagesse Babélé
- 10M. Nkounkou
- 7Joseph Mbangou
- 5Cervelie Ikouma Epoyo
- 17Dorvel Dibekou
- 4Julfin Ondongo
- 20Dalvidi Joel Mack Ondzani
- 16Daniel Chansel Massa Mohikola
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 07:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Céleste have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Étoile du Congo have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Renaissance(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | FC Mk de Kinshasa(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | TP Mazembe(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Maniema Union(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | JSK(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Diables Noirs(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CARA Brazzaville(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JS Talangaï(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Avenir(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Céleste score 0.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Étoile du Congo score 1.6 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Céleste | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Étoile du Congo | 1.6 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Céleste sit 4th in Ligue 1 (1 point from 1 match) and Étoile du Congo sit 2nd (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Étoile du Congo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Céleste | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Céleste vs Étoile du Congo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Céleste vs Étoile du Congo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Céleste the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Étoile du Congo.
- Where and when is Céleste vs Étoile du Congo played?
- Céleste vs Étoile du Congo is played on October 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.