Étoile du Congo vs Céleste: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat, Brazzaville
The Footlab AI model makes Étoile du Congo the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Céleste. The most likely score is 0-0. If Étoile du Congo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Étoile du Congo vs Céleste?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Étoile du Congo (1,552) and Céleste (1,589).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Étoile du Congo vs Céleste
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Étoile du Congo
4-3-3- 11Judea Mouandzibi
- 8Gautrand Charden Meil Ngouonimba
- 9Ferdinand Rochel Kivouri
- 21Sagesse Babélé
- 10M. Nkounkou
- 7Joseph Mbangou
- 5Cervelie Ikouma Epoyo
- 17Dorvel Dibekou
- 4Julfin Ondongo
- 20Dalvidi Joel Mack Ondzani
- 16Daniel Chansel Massa Mohikola
Céleste
Not enough data to predict the Céleste lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Étoile du Congo have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Céleste have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Diables Noirs(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CARA Brazzaville(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 7, 2025 | JS Talangaï(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Avenir(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | AS Penarol(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | TP Mazembe(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Maniema Union(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Étoile du Congo score 1.6 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Céleste score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Étoile du Congo | 1.6 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Céleste | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Céleste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36 | 13 | 44 |
A question about Étoile du Congo vs Céleste?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Étoile du Congo vs Céleste?
- The Footlab AI model makes Étoile du Congo the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Céleste.
- Where and when is Étoile du Congo vs Céleste played?
- Étoile du Congo vs Céleste is played on November 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.