Celle Varazze vs Chisola: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Celle Varazze the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Chisola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celle Varazze vs Chisola?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Celle Varazze (1,728) and Chisola (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celle Varazze have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Chisola have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Imperia(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sestri Levante(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Ligorna(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | Valenzana(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lavagnese(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Gozzano(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Celle Varazze win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chisola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Chisola 2-0 Celle Varazze | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Celle Varazze 0-1 Chisola | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Chisola vs Celle Varazze on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celle Varazze score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chisola score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celle Varazze | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Chisola | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celle Varazze sit 9th in Serie D - Girone A (44 points from 34 matches) and Chisola sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chisola | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44 | 36 | 55 |
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 47 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celle Varazze vs Chisola?
- The Footlab model makes Celle Varazze the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Chisola.
- Where and when is Celle Varazze vs Chisola played?
- Celle Varazze vs Chisola is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.