Derthona vs Alessandria: result 1-3 and analysis
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Fausto Coppi, Tortona
Full time
What was the result of Derthona vs Alessandria?
Alessandria won 1-3 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′V. AlfieroAlessandria
- 25′?Alessandria
- 52′?Alessandria
- 64′578746Derthona
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Derthona win at 37%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derthona have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Alessandria have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Millesimo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ligorna(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Imperia(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celle Varazze(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Imperia(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Asti(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Millesimo(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sestri Levante(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Valenzana(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Derthona score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alessandria score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derthona | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Alessandria | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derthona sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone A (11 points from 6 matches) and Alessandria sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessandria | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Derthona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
A question about Derthona vs Alessandria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy