Sanremese vs Bra: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Cichero, Sanremo
The Footlab model makes Sanremese the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Bra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanremese vs Bra?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Sanremese (1,773) and Bra (1,740).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanremese have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bra have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Club Milano(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Imperia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Derthona(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Torres(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Torres(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ternana(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sanremese win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Bra 1-3 Sanremese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Sanremese 0-1 Bra | Serie D - Girone A |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Sanremese 0-1 Bra | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Bra 1-0 Sanremese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Jan 25, 2023 | Bra 0-1 Sanremese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 21, 2022 | Sanremese 1-1 Bra | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sanremese score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bra score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanremese | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Bra | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 30 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanremese vs Bra?
- The Footlab model makes Sanremese the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Bra.
- Where and when is Sanremese vs Bra played?
- Sanremese vs Bra is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Cichero, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.