Celoricense vs Maia Lidador: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 12Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto, Celorico de Basto
The Footlab AI model makes Celoricense the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Maia Lidador. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celoricense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,094 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celoricense vs Maia Lidador?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Celoricense (1,868) and Maia Lidador (1,820).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celoricense vs Maia Lidador
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celoricense
4-3-3- 80Juninho
- 11J. Renteria
- LLucas
- 10D. Alves
- 7Didi
- 14Matchu
- 70J. Padi
- 13C. Mendes
- 17Diogo Miguel
- 18N. Pinto
- 99G. Machado
Maia Lidador
Not enough data to predict the Maia Lidador lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 11:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celoricense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Maia Lidador have 3, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Vinhais(away) | 4-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Rebordosa(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vila Meã(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 1-6 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Vila Meã(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Chaves II(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Tirsense(away) | 5-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Celoricense score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Maia Lidador score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celoricense | 0.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Maia Lidador | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 5/11 | 3/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celoricense sit 9th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (9 points from 7 matches) and Maia Lidador sit 11th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celoricense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 11 | Maia Lidador | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Celoricense vs Maia Lidador?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celoricense vs Maia Lidador?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celoricense the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Maia Lidador.
- Where and when is Celoricense vs Maia Lidador played?
- Celoricense vs Maia Lidador is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.