Vinhais vs Bragança: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 12Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Vinhais, Vinhais
The Footlab AI model makes Bragança the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Vinhais. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vinhais vs Bragança?
Bragança starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,670).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vinhais vs Bragança
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vinhais
Not enough data to predict the Vinhais lineup.
Bragança
Not enough data to predict the Bragança lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Vinhais have 0 wins, 0 draws and 13 defeats; Bragança have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Rebordosa(away) | 0-8 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Os Limianos(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 1-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vila Meã(away) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montalegre(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celoricense(home) | 6-1 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Vinhais score 0.5 and concede 3.4 goals per match over their last 13; Bragança score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinhais | 0.5 | 3.4 | 0 | 7/13 | 12/13 |
| Bragança | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vinhais sit 14th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (0 points from 6 matches) and Bragança sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bragança | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 14 | Vinhais | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
A question about Vinhais vs Bragança?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vinhais vs Bragança?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bragança the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Vinhais.
- Where and when is Vinhais vs Bragança played?
- Vinhais vs Bragança is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Vinhais, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.