Ponte da Barca vs Chaves II: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 12Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Ponte da Barca, Ponte da Barca
The Footlab AI model makes Chaves II the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Ponte da Barca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chaves II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ponte da Barca vs Chaves II?
On Elo ratings, Ponte da Barca has 1,798 points and Chaves II 1,892.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ponte da Barca vs Chaves II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ponte da Barca
Not enough data to predict the Ponte da Barca lineup.
Chaves II
Not enough data to predict the Chaves II lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Ponte da Barca have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chaves II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rebordosa(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Os Limianos(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Montalegre(away) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brito(away) | 4-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Celoricense(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vinhais(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rebordosa(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ponte da Barca score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 10; Chaves II score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte da Barca | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 3/10 | 4/10 |
| Chaves II | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ponte da Barca sit 11th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (3 points from 4 matches) and Chaves II sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chaves II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 11 | Ponte da Barca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
A question about Ponte da Barca vs Chaves II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ponte da Barca vs Chaves II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chaves II the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Ponte da Barca.
- Where and when is Ponte da Barca vs Chaves II played?
- Ponte da Barca vs Chaves II is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Ponte da Barca, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.