Vila Meã vs Tirsense: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 12Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Vila Meã, Vila Meã (Amarante)
The Footlab AI model makes Vila Meã the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Tirsense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vila Meã wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vila Meã vs Tirsense?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Vila Meã (1,892) and Tirsense (1,954).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vila Meã vs Tirsense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vila Meã
Not enough data to predict the Vila Meã lineup.
Tirsense
Not enough data to predict the Tirsense lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vila Meã have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Tirsense have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celoricense(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 4-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rebordosa(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Maia Lidador(away) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Os Limianos(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brito(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celoricense(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Vila Meã wins, 1 draw, 3 Tirsense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | Tirsense 1-1 Vila Meã | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Vila Meã 0-1 Tirsense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Tirsense 1-0 Vila Meã | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Vila Meã 0-1 Tirsense | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Vila Meã score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tirsense score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Meã | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Tirsense | 1.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vila Meã sit 6th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (7 points from 4 matches) and Tirsense sit 2nd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tirsense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Vila Meã | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
A question about Vila Meã vs Tirsense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vila Meã vs Tirsense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vila Meã the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Tirsense.
- Where and when is Vila Meã vs Tirsense played?
- Vila Meã vs Tirsense is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Vila Meã, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.