Celta de Vigo II vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónMatchday 35Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Celta de Vigo II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,076 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta de Vigo II vs Almeria?
Almeria starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (2,187 vs 2,048).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celta de Vigo II vs Almeria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-2-1- 9A. Marin
- 16Adrià Capdevila
- 11Ángel Arcos
- 15A. Kibet
- 29M. Sobral
- 10O. Marcos
- 23G. Miller
- 3K. Ribes
- 18Joel López
- 4S. M. Ndiaye
- 1Coke Carrillo
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 33Quim Junyent
- 17B. Cipenga
- 29S. Džodić
- 18F. Bonini
- 5Jorge Pulido
- 15Leonardo Lelo
- 2Marcos Luna
- 1Andrés Fernández
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 01:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta de Vigo II have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Almeria have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Celta de Vigo II wins, 0 draws, 1 Almeria win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Almeria 2-0 Celta de Vigo II | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celta de Vigo II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Almeria | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta de Vigo II sit 17th in Segunda División (13 points from 13 matches) and Almeria sit 1st (32 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 32 |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 13 |
A question about Celta de Vigo II vs Almeria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta de Vigo II vs Almeria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Celta de Vigo II.
- Where and when is Celta de Vigo II vs Almeria played?
- Celta de Vigo II vs Almeria is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.