Leganes vs Las Palmas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 35Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Las Palmas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leganes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,997 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganes vs Las Palmas?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Leganes (1,901) and Las Palmas (1,971).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leganes vs Las Palmas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leganes
3-4-2-1- 19P. Soko
- 11Naim García
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 10Z. Buurmeester
- 8Y. Kechta
- 22Álex Sancris
- 20Miguel Atienza
- 5Ignasi Miquel
- 2Marvel
- 6Lalo Aguilar
- 13L. Zidane
Las Palmas
5-4-1- 7Jefté Betancor
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 24Iván Jaime
- 6Iñaki González Zambrano
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 23A. Rodriguez
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 03:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganes have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Las Palmas have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leganes wins, 2 draws, 2 Las Palmas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Las Palmas 0-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Las Palmas 2-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Leganes 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| May 18, 2025 | Las Palmas 0-1 Leganes | La Liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Leganes 2-1 Las Palmas | La Liga |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Leganes 0-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Leganes score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Las Palmas | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganes sit 17th in Segunda División (11 points from 10 matches) and Las Palmas sit 16th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Las Palmas | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
| 17 | Leganes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Leganes vs Las Palmas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Las Palmas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Las Palmas.
- Where and when is Leganes vs Las Palmas played?
- Leganes vs Las Palmas is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.