Match

Almeria vs Granada CF: prediction and stats

Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 36Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almería

AlmeriaGranada CF

The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Granada CF. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almeria vs Granada CF?

Almeria starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (2,097 vs 1,967).

57%23%20%
Almeria winDrawGranada CF win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Almeria vs Granada CF

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Almeria

4-2-3-1
  1. 24Miguel de la Fuente
  1. 14Javi Muñoz
  2. 17B. Cipenga
  3. 11Sergio Arribas
  4. 29S. Džodić
  5. 33Quim Junyent
  1. 18F. Bonini
  2. 22D. Chirino
  3. 2Marcos Luna
  4. 15Leonardo Lelo
  1. 1Andrés Fernández

Granada CF

4-3-3
  1. 11José Arnáiz
  2. 7Sergio Rodelas
  3. 10Jorge Pascual
  1. 6Gumbau
  2. 4Rubén Alcaraz
  3. 8Pedro Alemañ
  1. 5Manu Lama
  2. 18Sergio López
  3. 30Juan José Flores Castro
  4. 16Diego Pampín
  1. 1Alberto Flores

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almeria have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Granada CF have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almeria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Real Sociedad II(away)4-2Segunda División
Oct 11, 2026Leganes(home)3-0Segunda División
Oct 3, 2026Burgos(home)2-1Segunda División
Sep 27, 2026Mallorca(away)1-0Segunda División
Sep 20, 2026Celta de Vigo II(home)2-0Segunda División
Granada CF
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Cadiz(home)2-0Segunda División
Oct 12, 2026Burgos(away)1-0Segunda División
Oct 4, 2026Real Sociedad II(away)3-2Segunda División
Sep 26, 2026FC Andorra(home)2-3Segunda División
Sep 20, 2026Leganes(away)2-3Segunda División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Almeria wins, 0 draws, 2 Granada CF wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 29, 2026Granada CF 2-0 AlmeriaFriendlies Clubs
Apr 26, 2026Granada CF 2-4 AlmeriaSegunda División
Jan 3, 2026Almeria 3-2 Granada CFSegunda División
Apr 5, 2025Granada CF 3-1 AlmeriaSegunda División
Nov 30, 2024Almeria 2-1 Granada CFSegunda División
Jul 20, 2024Almeria 2-1 Granada CFFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Granada CF vs Almeria on Jul 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almeria score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Granada CF score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Almeria1.80.874/157/15
Granada CF1.51.176/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almeria sit 1st in Segunda División (24 points from 10 matches) and Granada CF sit 7th (17 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Almeria1080220724
7Granada CF10523161317

A question about Almeria vs Granada CF?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Granada CF?
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Granada CF.
Where and when is Almeria vs Granada CF played?
Almeria vs Granada CF is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, in the Segunda División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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