Almeria vs Granada CF: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 36Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almería
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Granada CF. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almeria vs Granada CF?
Almeria starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (2,097 vs 1,967).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almeria vs Granada CF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 29S. Džodić
- 33Quim Junyent
- 18F. Bonini
- 22D. Chirino
- 2Marcos Luna
- 15Leonardo Lelo
- 1Andrés Fernández
Granada CF
4-3-3- 11José Arnáiz
- 7Sergio Rodelas
- 10Jorge Pascual
- 6Gumbau
- 4Rubén Alcaraz
- 8Pedro Alemañ
- 5Manu Lama
- 18Sergio López
- 30Juan José Flores Castro
- 16Diego Pampín
- 1Alberto Flores
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almeria have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Granada CF have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Almeria wins, 0 draws, 2 Granada CF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Granada CF 2-0 Almeria | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Granada CF 2-4 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Almeria 3-2 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Granada CF 3-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Almeria 2-1 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Almeria 2-1 Granada CF | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Granada CF vs Almeria on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Almeria score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Granada CF score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Granada CF | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almeria sit 1st in Segunda División (24 points from 10 matches) and Granada CF sit 7th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Granada CF | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 17 |
A question about Almeria vs Granada CF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almeria vs Granada CF?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Granada CF.
- Where and when is Almeria vs Granada CF played?
- Almeria vs Granada CF is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.