Valladolid vs Girona: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 35Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid
The Footlab AI model makes Girona the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 1-1. If Girona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valladolid vs Girona?
Girona starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,053 vs 1,919).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valladolid vs Girona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valladolid
4-1-3-2- 9Juanmi Latasa
- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 21J. Ponceau
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 24S. Jurić
- 8T. Ojeda
- 4David Torres
- 27Iván Garriel
- 15Pablo Tomeo
- 14Iván Alejo
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Girona
4-4-2- 19V. Vanat
- 9Abel Ruiz
- 24I. Gonzalez
- 23Carles Pérez
- 8Fran Beltrán
- 17Bryan Gil
- 11Álex Moreno
- 16Alejandro Francés
- 5David López
- 4Javier Boñar
- 13P. Gazzaniga
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valladolid have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Girona have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Valladolid win, 1 draw, 4 Girona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2025 | Valladolid 0-1 Girona | La Liga |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Girona 3-0 Valladolid | La Liga |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Valladolid 1-0 Girona | La Liga |
| Sep 9, 2022 | Girona 2-1 Valladolid | La Liga |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Valladolid 2-2 Girona | Segunda División |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Girona 1-0 Valladolid | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Valladolid score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Girona score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Girona | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valladolid sit 12th in Segunda División (12 points from 10 matches) and Girona sit 5th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Girona | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 18 |
| 12 | Valladolid | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
A question about Valladolid vs Girona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valladolid vs Girona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Girona the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Valladolid.
- Where and when is Valladolid vs Girona played?
- Valladolid vs Girona is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.