Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo
The Footlab model makes Celta de Vigo II the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Real Sociedad II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II?
Celta de Vigo II starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,001 vs 1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta de Vigo II have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Real Sociedad II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 4-1 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Europa Fc(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Celta de Vigo II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Real Sociedad II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | Real Sociedad II 2-0 Celta de Vigo II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Celta de Vigo II 2-1 Real Sociedad II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 4, 2024 | Real Sociedad II 0-0 Celta de Vigo II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Celta de Vigo II 1-2 Real Sociedad II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad II vs Celta de Vigo II on May 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Celta de Vigo II score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad II score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo II | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Sociedad II | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta de Vigo II sit 15th in Segunda División (1 points from 1 matches) and Real Sociedad II sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Real Sociedad II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Celta de Vigo II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II?
- The Footlab model makes Celta de Vigo II the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Real Sociedad II.
- Where and when is Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II played?
- Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.