Mallorca vs Las Palmas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Las Palmas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mallorca wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Mallorca (2,002) and Las Palmas (1,921).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mallorca vs Las Palmas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mallorca
4-1-3-2- 18Fuentes
- 16A. Buksa
- 7Álex Sala
- 20Pablo Torre
- 8Manu Morlanes
- 33Adrian Liso
- 21Raíllo
- 22A. Souhmahoro
- 34M. Calatayud
- 15John Nwankwo
- 1Arnau Tenas
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 12E. Loiodice
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 24Iván Jaime
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 13José Caro
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mallorca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Las Palmas have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mallorca wins, 2 draws, 1 Las Palmas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Mallorca 3-1 Las Palmas | La Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Las Palmas 2-3 Mallorca | La Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | Mallorca 1-0 Las Palmas | La Liga |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Las Palmas 1-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Las Palmas 1-1 Mallorca | Segunda División |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Mallorca 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Mallorca vs Las Palmas on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mallorca score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Las Palmas | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mallorca sit 5th in Segunda División (14 points from 8 matches) and Las Palmas sit 11th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Las Palmas.
- Where and when is Mallorca vs Las Palmas played?
- Mallorca vs Las Palmas is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.