Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, Cádiz
The Footlab AI model makes Cadiz the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sporting Gijon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cadiz wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon?
On Elo ratings, Cadiz has 1,786 points and Sporting Gijon 1,902.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cadiz
4-2-3-1- 21V. Kopotun
- 5M. Doué
- 18Jandro Orellana
- 24Ibon Sánchez
- 16Antonio Cordero
- 20Borja Vazquez
- 4Javi Castro
- 27J. Diaz Peregrina
- 6Manu Fernández
- 3Sergio Arribas
- 1David Gil
Sporting Gijon
4-4-2- 19J. Otero
- 17Antonio Casas
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 20N. Iosifov
- 2Guille Rosas
- 24Aimar Duñabeitia
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 15Pablo Vázquez
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cadiz have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Sporting Gijon have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Girona(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cadiz wins, 1 draw, 3 Sporting Gijon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sporting Gijon 3-0 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Cadiz 3-2 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Cadiz 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 2-0 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Sporting Gijon 0-0 Cadiz | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 21, 2020 | Sporting Gijon 1-0 Cadiz | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Gijon vs Cadiz on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cadiz score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Gijon score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sporting Gijon | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cadiz sit 19th in Segunda División (7 points from 8 matches) and Sporting Gijon sit 8th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cadiz the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sporting Gijon.
- Where and when is Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon played?
- Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon is played on October 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.