Celtiga vs Arenteiro: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Salvador Otero, A Illa de Arousa
The Footlab model makes Celtiga the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Arenteiro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtiga vs Arenteiro?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Celtiga (1,700) and Arenteiro (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtiga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Arenteiro have 0, 4 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Noia(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villalbés(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Barbadás(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Guadalajara(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 0-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Celtiga score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arenteiro score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtiga | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Arenteiro | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtiga | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 48 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtiga vs Arenteiro?
- The Footlab model makes Celtiga the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Arenteiro.
- Where and when is Celtiga vs Arenteiro played?
- Celtiga vs Arenteiro is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Salvador Otero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.