Match

Sarriana vs Lalin: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal De Ribela, Sarria

SarrianaLalin

The Footlab model makes Sarriana the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Lalin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sarriana vs Lalin?

Sarriana win43 %
Draw28 %
Lalin win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarriana have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lalin have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sarriana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Racing Santander II(home)3-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Atlético Astorga(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026Marino de Luanco(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Bergantiños(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 4, 2026Sámano(home)4-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sarriana vs Lalin?
The Footlab model makes Sarriana the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Lalin.
Where and when is Sarriana vs Lalin played?
Sarriana vs Lalin is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal De Ribela, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sarriana and Lalin

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