Coruña vs Barco: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Coruña the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Barco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Coruña wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coruña vs Barco?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Coruña (1,761) and Barco (1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Coruña vs Barco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Coruña
Not enough data to predict the Coruña lineup.
Barco
Not enough data to predict the Barco lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coruña have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Barco have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Alondras(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Villalbés(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Antela(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pontevedra II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Portonovo SD(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Silva(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Coruña win, 1 draw, 0 Barco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Coruña 0-0 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Barco 0-1 Coruña | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Coruña score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Barco score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coruña | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Barco | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coruña sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (6 points from 6 matches) and Barco sit 2nd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barco | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 15 | Coruña | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Coruña vs Barco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coruña vs Barco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Coruña the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Barco.
- Where and when is Coruña vs Barco played?
- Coruña vs Barco is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.