Celtiga vs Celta de Vigo III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Salvador Otero, A Illa de Arousa
The Footlab AI model makes Celta de Vigo III the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Celtiga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celta de Vigo III wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtiga vs Celta de Vigo III?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Celtiga (1,717) and Celta de Vigo III (1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celtiga vs Celta de Vigo III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celtiga
Not enough data to predict the Celtiga lineup.
Celta de Vigo III
Not enough data to predict the Celta de Vigo III lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtiga have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Celta de Vigo III have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alondras(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Viveiro(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Estradense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Celtiga(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coruña(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Antela(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Celtiga wins, 1 draw, 0 Celta de Vigo III wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III 1-2 Celtiga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Celtiga 1-1 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Celta de Vigo III 2-4 Celtiga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Celta de Vigo III vs Celtiga on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celtiga score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Celta de Vigo III score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtiga | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Celta de Vigo III | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtiga sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 7 matches) and Celta de Vigo III sit 15th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtiga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celta de Vigo III | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Celtiga vs Celta de Vigo III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtiga vs Celta de Vigo III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celta de Vigo III the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Celtiga.
- Where and when is Celtiga vs Celta de Vigo III played?
- Celtiga vs Celta de Vigo III is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Salvador Otero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.