Cenicero vs Calahorra: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Las Viñas, Cenicero
The Footlab AI model makes Calahorra the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Cenicero. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cenicero vs Calahorra?
Calahorra is a heavy favourite: 1,869 Elo points against 1,518, a 351-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cenicero vs Calahorra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cenicero
Not enough data to predict the Cenicero lineup.
Calahorra
Not enough data to predict the Calahorra lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cenicero have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Calahorra have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Oyonesa(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | La Calzada(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pradejón(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Marcial(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Yagüe(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Casalarreina(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Yagüe(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Anguiano(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Haro Deportivo(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alfaro(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cenicero score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Calahorra score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cenicero | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Calahorra | 2.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cenicero sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (5 points from 8 matches) and Calahorra sit 2nd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Calahorra | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 10 | 18 |
| 16 | Cenicero | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 5 |
A question about Cenicero vs Calahorra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cenicero vs Calahorra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Calahorra the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Cenicero.
- Where and when is Cenicero vs Calahorra played?
- Cenicero vs Calahorra is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Las Viñas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.