Agoncillo vs Yagüe: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Roque, Agoncillo
The Footlab AI model makes Agoncillo the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Yagüe. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agoncillo vs Yagüe?
Agoncillo starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,747 vs 1,644).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Agoncillo vs Yagüe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Agoncillo
Not enough data to predict the Agoncillo lineup.
Yagüe
Not enough data to predict the Yagüe lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agoncillo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Yagüe have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Comillas(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Varea(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vianés(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Casalarreina(away) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Calahorra(home) | 3-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | San Marcial(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Anguiano(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cenicero(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Haro Deportivo(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | River Ebro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Agoncillo wins, 2 draws, 1 Yagüe win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Yagüe 1-2 Agoncillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Agoncillo 2-3 Yagüe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Agoncillo 0-0 Yagüe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Yagüe 1-1 Agoncillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Yagüe 2-3 Agoncillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Agoncillo 1-0 Yagüe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
How many goals should we expect?
Agoncillo score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Yagüe score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agoncillo | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Yagüe | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Agoncillo sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (9 points from 7 matches) and Yagüe sit 13th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Agoncillo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Yagüe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 6 |
A question about Agoncillo vs Yagüe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agoncillo vs Yagüe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Agoncillo the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Yagüe.
- Where and when is Agoncillo vs Yagüe played?
- Agoncillo vs Yagüe is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Roque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.