Match

River Ebro vs Casalarreina: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Miguel, Rincón de Soto

River EbroCasalarreina

The Footlab AI model makes River Ebro the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Casalarreina. The most likely score is 1-1. If River Ebro wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win River Ebro vs Casalarreina?

On Elo ratings, River Ebro has 1,607 points and Casalarreina 1,589.

51%24%25%
River Ebro winDrawCasalarreina win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for River Ebro vs Casalarreina

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

River Ebro

4-3-3
  1. JJhan Martínez
  2. OOmar Laanaya
  3. AAdrián Montoya
  1. DDani Garrido
  2. RRubén Melero Ladrón
  3. SSolomon Teiko
  1. RRicardo Sáinz
  2. AAyoub Jaouak
  3. ÁÁlvaro Ruiz
  4. MMiguel Sáenz
  1. DDavid Martinez

Casalarreina

4-3-3
  1. GGaizka Díaz
  2. AAntonio Iglesias
  3. NN. Bobylov
  1. AArkaitz
  2. IIzan Gamarra
  3. PPablo Cano
  1. RRubén de Porras
  2. AAbderrahman
  3. MMikel García
  4. AAdrián Cerrillo
  1. SSergio Portilla

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 06:53 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, River Ebro have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Casalarreina have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

River Ebro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Oyonesa(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 18, 2026La Calzada(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 8, 2026Pradejón(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 4, 2026San Marcial(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Sep 26, 2026Cenicero(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Anguiano(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 18, 2026Haro Deportivo(away)1-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 11, 2026Alfaro(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 4, 2026Calasancio(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
Sep 26, 2026Agoncillo(home)1-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 16

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 River Ebro wins, 1 draw, 2 Casalarreina wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 16, 2025Casalarreina 3-1 River EbroTercera División RFEF - Group 16
Dec 5, 2024River Ebro 1-2 CasalarreinaTercera División RFEF - Group 16
Jan 27, 2024Casalarreina 2-2 River EbroTercera División RFEF - Group 16
Sep 10, 2023River Ebro 3-1 CasalarreinaTercera División RFEF - Group 16
Feb 26, 2023River Ebro 3-1 CasalarreinaTercera División RFEF - Group 16
Oct 23, 2022Casalarreina 1-3 River EbroTercera División RFEF - Group 16

Last archived meeting: Casalarreina vs River Ebro on Apr 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

River Ebro score 1.0 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Casalarreina score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
River Ebro1.02.219/159/15
Casalarreina1.31.929/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

River Ebro sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (4 points from 7 matches) and Casalarreina sit 18th (3 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17River Ebro71157174
18Casalarreina81076203

A question about River Ebro vs Casalarreina?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for River Ebro vs Casalarreina?
The Footlab AI model makes River Ebro the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Casalarreina.
Where and when is River Ebro vs Casalarreina played?
River Ebro vs Casalarreina is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Miguel, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: River Ebro and Casalarreina

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