Comillas vs Varea: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mundial 82, Logroño
The Footlab AI model makes Varea the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Comillas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Varea wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Comillas vs Varea?
Varea starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (1,865 vs 1,620).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Comillas vs Varea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Comillas
Not enough data to predict the Comillas lineup.
Varea
Not enough data to predict the Varea lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comillas have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Varea have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oyonesa(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | La Calzada(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pradejón(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | San Marcial(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-2 | Copa Federacion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Agoncillo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Oyonesa(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Calzada(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pradejón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Marcial(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Comillas win, 1 draw, 4 Varea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Comillas 2-1 Varea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Varea 2-0 Comillas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Varea 2-1 Comillas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Comillas 0-1 Varea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Comillas 0-3 Varea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Varea 1-1 Comillas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
How many goals should we expect?
Comillas score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Varea score 0.8 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comillas | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Varea | 0.8 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Comillas sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (5 points from 6 matches) and Varea sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Varea | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | Comillas | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
A question about Comillas vs Varea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Comillas vs Varea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Varea the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Comillas.
- Where and when is Comillas vs Varea played?
- Comillas vs Varea is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mundial 82, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.